The last (?) in the series of First World War retrospectives: https://blog.usni.org/posts/2018/11/13/what-makes-a-good-peace-settlement.
A triumphal afterglow surrounds the outcome of World War II, the “good war.” But as we lament the dismal end of World War I, it’s worthwhile remembering that the Cold War started within months of World War I, and it did so when the wartime Allies fell out among themselves. Hard to depict that as an unalloyed triumph . . . .
Over at Foreign Policy, a reminder that winning too big and being granted a long peace is a dual-edged sword: https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/11/13/the-u-s-navy-has-forgotten-what-its-like-to-fight/
A Nelsonian triumph is good, but it lets commanders and officials slip into bad habits such as obsessing over paperwork and spit and polish at the expense of battle readiness. It also deludes senior leaders into thinking they can choreograph fleet maneuvers. Which may be true . . . until the first shock when the fleet collides with the enemy. Then a melee ensues, ruining elaborate choreography. The force that excels at improv rather than scripted movements boasts the advantage during that decisive phase. Hence the imperative to liberate and empower more junior folk, unlocking their ingenuity.
Spinoff of my presentation from the National World War I Museum and Memorial in Kansas City.
More on today’s centennial of the World War I armistice. Turns out the Great War wasn’t all about trench warfare in France. Forget the other theaters and you may learn misleading lessons from the conflict: https://nationalinterest.org/feature/world-war-i-more-trenches-france-35692.
Over at Foreign Policy I try to draw out lessons of World War I for strategy and foreign policy in Asia today: https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/11/09/world-war-is-depressing-lessons-for-asia/. Amazing how many rhymes there are between then and now, and even the dissonant notes are enlightening.
The occasion is the centennial of the armistice, which is coming up this Sunday. Last week I ventured out to Kansas City to address the centennial symposium at the National World War I Museum and Monument and spun off my remarks into a couple of articles. Part 2 coming Sunday!
All signs point to No: http://nationalinterest.org/feature/history-tells-us-north-korea-will-never-give-its-nuclear-26093.
On the virtue of being unpredictable when deploying naval task forces: http://nationalinterest.org/feature/how-mattis-can-help-reshape-the-navy-26055
Over at the Naval Institute Proceedings, holding forth on the inperatives driving China to defend at home to go on the offense abroad: https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2018-06/visualize-chinese-sea-power